League One · Sat 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK

Cambridge vs Plymouth prediction

Abbey Stadium · Published 24 Oct 2026, 09:18 UK

Full time: Cambridge 2–3 Plymouth

Win, draw or lose

Cambridge win37.6%fair odds 2.66

Draw24.7%fair odds 4.06

Plymouth win37.7%fair odds 2.65

Plymouth are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 38% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 43% of the time.

Double chance75%Cambridge or Plymouth · fair 1.33

Goals55%Over 2.5 · fair 1.81

Both teams to score59%yes · fair 1.70

Expected goals1.44 – 1.44Cambridge – Plymouth

How the forecast did

Most likely outcome: Plymouth win (38%)came in ✓
Double chance: Cambridge or Plymouth (75%)came in ✓
More likely on goals: over 2.5came in ✓
More likely: both teams to scorecame in ✓

Forecast error (log loss) on this match: 0.975; closing market: 1.103. Lower is better — single matches are noisy, the season record below is what counts.

Table and form at publication

Team	Pos	Pts	Pl	Form
Cambridge	4th	20	11	DDWWD
Plymouth	5th	19	12	LWWLL

Open in the app All League One predictions

How this forecast was made

Bookmaker prices were not available yet at publication, so this forecast comes from our team rating model (goals, form and home advantage, tested on past seasons). Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 24 Oct 2026, 09:18 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 583f94b799c2…448cb5. It is in entry #1 of our public log, recorded 6 Nov 2026, 08:12 UTC — after publication: the log started then, so it proves the round has not changed since that date, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 6 Nov 2026, 08:13 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

Download this round · How to check it yourself