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2. Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 12:00 UK

Holstein Kiel vs Bielefeld prediction

Holstein-Stadion · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Holstein Kiel win39.0%fair odds 2.56
Draw27.1%fair odds 3.70
Bielefeld win33.9%fair odds 2.95

Holstein Kiel are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 39% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 41% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Holstein Kiel 42%, draw 29%, Bielefeld 29%.

Double chance73%Holstein Kiel or Bielefeld · fair 1.37
Goals53%Over 2.5 · fair 1.88
Both teams to score57%yes · fair 1.74
Expected goals1.46 – 1.34Holstein Kiel – Bielefeld

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Holstein Kiel17th810DLDWL
Bielefeld7th1410DWWLW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): d89eab4fcb8f…20d051. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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