TrueOdds Lab

2. Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 12:00 UK

Nurnberg vs Darmstadt prediction

Max-Morlock-Stadion · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Nurnberg win55.9%fair odds 1.79
Draw21.9%fair odds 4.57
Darmstadt win22.2%fair odds 4.50

Nurnberg are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 56% this outcome fails about 4 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 48% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Nurnberg 56%, draw 24%, Darmstadt 20%.

Double chance78%Nurnberg or Darmstadt · fair 1.28
Goals64%Over 2.5 · fair 1.55
Both teams to score63%yes · fair 1.59
Expected goals2.07 – 1.25Nurnberg – Darmstadt

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Nurnberg2nd2110WDDLW
Darmstadt16th910LWLDD
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): d89eab4fcb8f…20d051. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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