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Championship · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK

Birmingham vs Swansea prediction

St Andrew's · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Birmingham win52.4%fair odds 1.91
Draw25.5%fair odds 3.92
Swansea win22.1%fair odds 4.52

Birmingham are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 52% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 48% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Birmingham 48%, draw 26%, Swansea 26%.

Double chance78%Birmingham or draw · fair 1.28
Goals51%Over 2.5 · fair 1.97
Both teams to score53%yes · fair 1.90
Expected goals1.69 – 1.02Birmingham – Swansea

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Birmingham4th2614WWLWW
Swansea6th2614WLLWL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): a8ccd27814a0…18c825. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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