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Championship · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK

Cardiff vs Burnley prediction

Cardiff City Stadium · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Cardiff win44.9%fair odds 2.23
Draw24.3%fair odds 4.11
Burnley win30.8%fair odds 3.25

Cardiff are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 45% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 45% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Cardiff 35%, draw 26%, Burnley 40%.

Double chance76%Cardiff or Burnley · fair 1.32
Goals63%Over 2.5 · fair 1.58
Both teams to score65%yes · fair 1.55
Expected goals1.79 – 1.46Cardiff – Burnley

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Cardiff18th1514WDWLD
Burnley22nd1014DLLDD
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): a8ccd27814a0…18c825. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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