Championship · Sat 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK

Stoke vs Bristol City prediction

bet365 Stadium · Published 24 Oct 2026, 09:18 UK

Full time: Stoke 0–0 Bristol City

Win, draw or lose

Stoke win40.6%fair odds 2.46

Draw27.7%fair odds 3.61

Bristol City win31.7%fair odds 3.15

Stoke are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 41% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 43% of the time.

Double chance72%Stoke or Bristol City · fair 1.38

Goals57%Under 2.5 · fair 1.76

Both teams to score50%yes · fair 2.02

Expected goals1.28 – 1.13Stoke – Bristol City

How the forecast did

Most likely outcome: Stoke win (41%)didn't come in ✗
Double chance: Stoke or Bristol City (72%)didn't come in ✗
More likely on goals: under 2.5came in ✓
More likely: both teams not to scorecame in ✓

Forecast error (log loss) on this match: 1.283; closing market: 1.256. Lower is better — single matches are noisy, the season record below is what counts.

Table and form at publication

Team	Pos	Pts	Pl	Form
Stoke	7th	19	11	WWWLW
Bristol City	16th	14	11	LWDLL

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How this forecast was made

Bookmaker prices were not available yet at publication, so this forecast comes from our team rating model (goals, form and home advantage, tested on past seasons). Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 24 Oct 2026, 09:18 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 6ad30d42bd7a…67f9a1. It is in entry #1 of our public log, recorded 6 Nov 2026, 08:12 UTC — after publication: the log started then, so it proves the round has not changed since that date, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 6 Nov 2026, 08:13 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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