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Eredivisie · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 19:00 UK

Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

Stadion Galgenwaard · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Upcoming · forecast frozen at publication

Win, draw or lose

Utrecht win39.4%fair odds 2.54
Draw24.2%fair odds 4.13
NEC Nijmegen win36.3%fair odds 2.75

Utrecht are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 39% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 38% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Utrecht 40%, draw 24%, NEC Nijmegen 37%.

Double chance76%Utrecht or NEC Nijmegen · fair 1.32
Goals65%Over 2.5 · fair 1.55
Both teams to score66%yes · fair 1.51
Expected goals1.70 – 1.63Utrecht – NEC Nijmegen

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Utrecht12th1211LWWDL
NEC Nijmegen13th1111DDDDL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): c5223fd97478…ffe5a4. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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