TrueOdds Lab

Greek Super League · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK

Aris vs Panetolikos prediction

Kleanthis Vikelidis · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Aris win70.7%fair odds 1.41
Draw18.9%fair odds 5.28
Panetolikos win10.3%fair odds 9.68

Aris are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 71% this outcome fails about 3 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 77% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Aris 59%, draw 27%, Panetolikos 14%.

Double chance90%Aris or draw · fair 1.12
Goals55%Over 2.5 · fair 1.83
Both teams to score45%yes · fair 2.21
Expected goals2.17 – 0.70Aris – Panetolikos

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Aris6th169DWWWL
Panetolikos10th99LLLLL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 19e7fd10592d…8ea982. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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