Ligue 2 · Mon 2 Nov 2026, 19:45 UK

Reims vs Sochaux prediction

Stade Auguste-Delaune · Published 2 Nov 2026, 15:15 UK

Full time: Reims 2–0 Sochaux

Win, draw or lose

Reims win55.6%fair odds 1.80

Draw24.3%fair odds 4.11

Sochaux win20.1%fair odds 4.99

Reims are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 56% this outcome fails about 4 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 58% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Reims 55%, draw 26%, Sochaux 19%.

Double chance80%Reims or draw · fair 1.25

Goals53%Over 2.5 · fair 1.89

Both teams to score53%yes · fair 1.88

Expected goals1.80 – 0.99Reims – Sochaux

How the forecast did

Most likely outcome: Reims win (56%)came in ✓
Double chance: Reims or draw (80%)came in ✓
More likely on goals: over 2.5didn't come in ✗
More likely: both teams to scoredidn't come in ✗

Forecast error (log loss) on this match: 0.587; closing market: 0.585. Lower is better — single matches are noisy, the season record below is what counts.

Table and form at publication

Team	Pos	Pts	Pl	Form
Reims	5th	18	10	WDDWD
Sochaux	13th	11	10	WDDLL

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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 2 Nov 2026, 15:15 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 6446af0c06e0…e6b382. It is in entry #1 of our public log, recorded 6 Nov 2026, 08:12 UTC — after publication: the log started then, so it proves the round has not changed since that date, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 6 Nov 2026, 08:13 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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