Scottish Championship · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK
Arbroath vs Ayr prediction
Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update
Win, draw or lose
Ayr are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 39% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.
In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 34% of the time.
Our rating model, as a second opinion: Arbroath 32%, draw 31%, Ayr 37%.
Table and form at publication
| Team | Pos | Pts | Pl | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 8th | 11 | 13 | LLLLL |
| Ayr | 7th | 15 | 12 | LWDLW |
How this forecast was made
Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.
Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works
Proof this forecast wasn't edited
Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 45e2fb9a5f09…a3f864. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.