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Scottish Championship · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK

Morton vs Stenhousemuir prediction

Cappielow Park · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Morton win35.4%fair odds 2.83
Draw27.6%fair odds 3.62
Stenhousemuir win37.0%fair odds 2.70

Stenhousemuir are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 37% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 34% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Morton 32%, draw 32%, Stenhousemuir 36%.

Double chance72%Morton or Stenhousemuir · fair 1.38
Goals54%Under 2.5 · fair 1.84
Both teams to score52%yes · fair 1.94
Expected goals1.23 – 1.27Morton – Stenhousemuir

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Morton9th1012LLWWW
Stenhousemuir4th2313LDLLL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 45e2fb9a5f09…a3f864. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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