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Scottish Premiership · Sun 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UK

Falkirk vs Celtic prediction

Falkirk Stadium · Published 1 Nov 2026, 07:05 UK

Full time: Falkirk 2–0 Celtic

Win, draw or lose

Falkirk win14.1%fair odds 7.07
Draw18.0%fair odds 5.55
Celtic win67.8%fair odds 1.47

Celtic are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 68% this outcome fails about 3 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 77% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Falkirk 15%, draw 19%, Celtic 65%.

Double chance86%Celtic or draw · fair 1.16
Goals67%Over 2.5 · fair 1.50
Both teams to score59%yes · fair 1.71
Expected goals1.02 – 2.41Falkirk – Celtic

How the forecast did

Forecast error (log loss) on this match: 1.956; closing market: 1.942. Lower is better — single matches are noisy, the season record below is what counts.

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Falkirk6th1511DLWWW
Celtic1st2811LWWWD
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 1 Nov 2026, 07:05 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): abc70e004f02…065df0. It is in entry #1 of our public log, recorded 6 Nov 2026, 08:12 UTC — after publication: the log started then, so it proves the round has not changed since that date, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 6 Nov 2026, 08:13 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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