TrueOdds Lab

Scottish Premiership · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK

Hearts vs Falkirk prediction

Tynecastle Park · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Hearts win62.4%fair odds 1.60
Draw20.5%fair odds 4.87
Falkirk win17.1%fair odds 5.84

Hearts are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 62% this outcome fails about 4 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 77% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Hearts 60%, draw 22%, Falkirk 18%.

Double chance83%Hearts or draw · fair 1.21
Goals62%Over 2.5 · fair 1.61
Both teams to score58%yes · fair 1.73
Expected goals2.16 – 1.05Hearts – Falkirk

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Hearts3rd2011DWLWD
Falkirk4th1812LWWWW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 8c567b76989d…bb3b20. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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