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Championship · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK

Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction

Vicarage Road · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Watford win17.2%fair odds 5.83
Draw20.2%fair odds 4.95
Middlesbrough win62.6%fair odds 1.60

Middlesbrough are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 63% this outcome fails about 4 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 64% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Watford 29%, draw 25%, Middlesbrough 46%.

Double chance83%Middlesbrough or draw · fair 1.21
Goals65%Over 2.5 · fair 1.54
Both teams to score60%yes · fair 1.66
Expected goals1.10 – 2.24Watford – Middlesbrough

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Watford20th1414LWLLW
Middlesbrough2nd2814WDWWL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): a8ccd27814a0…18c825. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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