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League Two · Sat 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK

Crawley Town vs Tranmere prediction

Broadfield Stadium · Published 24 Oct 2026, 09:18 UK

Full time: Crawley Town 1–1 Tranmere

Win, draw or lose

Crawley Town win40.8%fair odds 2.45
Draw29.2%fair odds 3.42
Tranmere win30.0%fair odds 3.33

Crawley Town are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 41% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 46% of the time.

Double chance71%Crawley Town or Tranmere · fair 1.41
Goals51%Under 2.5 · fair 1.95
Both teams to score54%yes · fair 1.84
Expected goals1.42 – 1.20Crawley Town – Tranmere

How the forecast did

Forecast error (log loss) on this match: 1.231; closing market: 1.334. Lower is better — single matches are noisy, the season record below is what counts.

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Crawley Town24th510LLDLL
Tranmere13th1512DLDLW
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How this forecast was made

Bookmaker prices were not available yet at publication, so this forecast comes from our team rating model (goals, form and home advantage, tested on past seasons). Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 24 Oct 2026, 09:18 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 6011ba5a0fec…b65596. It is in entry #1 of our public log, recorded 6 Nov 2026, 08:12 UTC — after publication: the log started then, so it proves the round has not changed since that date, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 6 Nov 2026, 08:13 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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