TrueOdds Lab

Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK

Dortmund vs Elversberg prediction

Signal Iduna Park · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Dortmund win74.8%fair odds 1.34
Draw15.2%fair odds 6.60
Elversberg win10.1%fair odds 9.94

Dortmund are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 75% this outcome fails about 3 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 70% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Dortmund 65%, draw 19%, Elversberg 16%.

Double chance90%Dortmund or draw · fair 1.11
Goals72%Over 2.5 · fair 1.39
Both teams to score58%yes · fair 1.72
Expected goals2.77 – 0.96Dortmund – Elversberg

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Dortmund2nd188WDDWD
Elversberg7th138DLWLW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 2f6f5d7183bf…1690e0. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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