TrueOdds Lab

Bundesliga · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 16:30 UK

Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction

Europa-Park Stadion · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Freiburg win64.8%fair odds 1.54
Draw20.5%fair odds 4.88
Union Berlin win14.7%fair odds 6.81

Freiburg are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 65% this outcome fails about 4 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 70% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Freiburg 54%, draw 25%, Union Berlin 21%.

Double chance85%Freiburg or draw · fair 1.17
Goals59%Over 2.5 · fair 1.69
Both teams to score54%yes · fair 1.86
Expected goals2.15 – 0.93Freiburg – Union Berlin

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Freiburg3rd168DWLLW
Union Berlin16th78LWDDD
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 2f6f5d7183bf…1690e0. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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