TrueOdds Lab

Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK

Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction

Mewa Arena · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Mainz win12.1%fair odds 8.26
Draw13.9%fair odds 7.17
Bayern Munich win74.0%fair odds 1.35

Bayern Munich are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 74% this outcome fails about 3 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 70% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Mainz 15%, draw 18%, Bayern Munich 66%.

Double chance88%Bayern Munich or draw · fair 1.14
Goals80%Over 2.5 · fair 1.25
Both teams to score68%yes · fair 1.48
Expected goals1.22 – 3.06Mainz – Bayern Munich

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Mainz9th108WLWLL
Bayern Munich1st188WDWWD
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 2f6f5d7183bf…1690e0. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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