TrueOdds Lab

Bundesliga · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK

FC Koln vs Leverkusen prediction

RheinEnergieStadion · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

FC Koln win23.6%fair odds 4.23
Draw22.5%fair odds 4.45
Leverkusen win53.9%fair odds 1.86

Leverkusen are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 54% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 47% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: FC Koln 24%, draw 24%, Leverkusen 52%.

Double chance78%FC Koln or Leverkusen · fair 1.29
Goals68%Over 2.5 · fair 1.46
Both teams to score67%yes · fair 1.50
Expected goals1.39 – 2.14FC Koln – Leverkusen

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
FC Koln13th98LWLDD
Leverkusen6th138WWWLL
Open in the appAll Bundesliga predictions

How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 2f6f5d7183bf…1690e0. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

Download this round · How to check it yourself

More Bundesliga forecasts