TrueOdds Lab

Premier League · Sun 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UK

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction

Selhurst Park · Published 24 Oct 2026, 09:18 UK

Full time: Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle

Win, draw or lose

Crystal Palace win35.9%fair odds 2.79
Draw24.6%fair odds 4.07
Newcastle win39.6%fair odds 2.53

Newcastle are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 40% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 37% of the time.

Double chance75%Crystal Palace or Newcastle · fair 1.33
Goals55%Over 2.5 · fair 1.80
Both teams to score59%yes · fair 1.69
Expected goals1.42 – 1.48Crystal Palace – Newcastle

How the forecast did

Forecast error (log loss) on this match: 0.928; closing market: 1.016. Lower is better — single matches are noisy, the season record below is what counts.

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Crystal Palace14th77WLDWL
Newcastle11th87DLWLL
Open in the appAll Premier League predictions

How this forecast was made

Bookmaker prices were not available yet at publication, so this forecast comes from our team rating model (goals, form and home advantage, tested on past seasons). Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 24 Oct 2026, 09:18 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 450c7f28d5d3…272e9e. It is in entry #1 of our public log, recorded 6 Nov 2026, 08:12 UTC — after publication: the log started then, so it proves the round has not changed since that date, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 6 Nov 2026, 08:13 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

Download this round · How to check it yourself

More Premier League forecasts