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Segunda División · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 13:00 UK

Burgos vs Celta Vigo B prediction

El Plantío · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Burgos win58.3%fair odds 1.72
Draw23.8%fair odds 4.20
Celta Vigo B win18.0%fair odds 5.57

Burgos are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 58% this outcome fails about 4 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 58% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Burgos 53%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo B 19%.

Double chance82%Burgos or draw · fair 1.22
Goals52%Over 2.5 · fair 1.94
Both teams to score51%yes · fair 1.97
Expected goals1.82 – 0.91Burgos – Celta Vigo B

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Burgos8th2112LLWWD
Celta Vigo B16th1312LWDLD
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 029f1187c469…2dfd16. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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