TrueOdds Lab

Segunda División · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK

Las Palmas vs Eldense prediction

Estadio de Gran Canaria · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Upcoming · forecast frozen at publication

Win, draw or lose

Las Palmas win43.8%fair odds 2.28
Draw26.5%fair odds 3.77
Eldense win29.6%fair odds 3.37

Las Palmas are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 44% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 43% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Las Palmas 55%, draw 27%, Eldense 18%.

Double chance73%Las Palmas or Eldense · fair 1.36
Goals53%Over 2.5 · fair 1.89
Both teams to score57%yes · fair 1.77
Expected goals1.55 – 1.24Las Palmas – Eldense

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Las Palmas11th1712DLLWW
Eldense15th1412WWWLL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 029f1187c469…2dfd16. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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