TrueOdds Lab

Segunda División · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK

Cordoba vs Ceuta prediction

Nuevo Arcángel · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Cordoba win64.5%fair odds 1.55
Draw19.2%fair odds 5.21
Ceuta win16.3%fair odds 6.12

Cordoba are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 64% this outcome fails about 4 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 66% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Cordoba 58%, draw 23%, Ceuta 19%.

Double chance84%Cordoba or draw · fair 1.20
Goals67%Over 2.5 · fair 1.50
Both teams to score61%yes · fair 1.65
Expected goals2.33 – 1.10Cordoba – Ceuta

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Cordoba12th1612WLWWD
Ceuta22nd512DLLLL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 029f1187c469…2dfd16. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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