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Segunda División · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid prediction

El Molinón · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Upcoming · forecast frozen at publication

Win, draw or lose

Sporting Gijon win40.4%fair odds 2.48
Draw28.8%fair odds 3.48
Valladolid win30.8%fair odds 3.24

Sporting Gijon are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 40% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 43% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Sporting Gijon 48%, draw 29%, Valladolid 23%.

Double chance71%Sporting Gijon or Valladolid · fair 1.40
Goals56%Under 2.5 · fair 1.80
Both teams to score50%yes · fair 1.99
Expected goals1.32 – 1.13Sporting Gijon – Valladolid

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Sporting Gijon6th2212WWWLW
Valladolid13th1512DWLLW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 029f1187c469…2dfd16. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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