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La Liga · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 13:00 UK

Malaga vs Racing Santander prediction

La Rosaleda · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Malaga win39.8%fair odds 2.51
Draw26.2%fair odds 3.81
Racing Santander win34.0%fair odds 2.95

Malaga are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 40% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 38% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Malaga 48%, draw 25%, Racing Santander 27%.

Double chance74%Malaga or Racing Santander · fair 1.36
Goals58%Over 2.5 · fair 1.73
Both teams to score61%yes · fair 1.64
Expected goals1.57 – 1.43Malaga – Racing Santander

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Malaga20th511LDLDL
Racing Santander16th1111LDLWL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): dc59ced10826…bd9f83. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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