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La Liga · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK

Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao prediction

El Sadar · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Osasuna win25.8%fair odds 3.88
Draw27.5%fair odds 3.64
Athletic Bilbao win46.7%fair odds 2.14

Athletic Bilbao are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 47% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 52% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Osasuna 34%, draw 32%, Athletic Bilbao 35%.

Double chance74%Athletic Bilbao or draw · fair 1.35
Goals55%Under 2.5 · fair 1.82
Both teams to score50%yes · fair 2.01
Expected goals1.02 – 1.46Osasuna – Athletic Bilbao

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Osasuna15th1111DLWLL
Athletic Bilbao7th1510DDLWW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): dc59ced10826…bd9f83. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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