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La Liga · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 15:15 UK

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction

Anoeta · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Real Sociedad win57.9%fair odds 1.73
Draw22.1%fair odds 4.51
Rayo Vallecano win19.9%fair odds 5.02

Real Sociedad are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 58% this outcome fails about 4 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 57% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Real Sociedad 52%, draw 28%, Rayo Vallecano 20%.

Double chance80%Real Sociedad or draw · fair 1.25
Goals61%Over 2.5 · fair 1.64
Both teams to score59%yes · fair 1.69
Expected goals2.03 – 1.12Real Sociedad – Rayo Vallecano

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Real Sociedad5th1911WWWWL
Rayo Vallecano12th1210WDDLW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): dc59ced10826…bd9f83. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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