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La Liga · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK

Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction

Mestalla · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Valencia win8.9%fair odds 11.29
Draw14.3%fair odds 6.97
Real Madrid win76.8%fair odds 1.30

Real Madrid are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 77% this outcome fails about 2 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 73% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Valencia 17%, draw 25%, Real Madrid 58%.

Double chance91%Real Madrid or draw · fair 1.10
Goals67%Over 2.5 · fair 1.48
Both teams to score52%yes · fair 1.93
Expected goals0.80 – 2.67Valencia – Real Madrid

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Valencia19th911LDDLW
Real Madrid3rd2711LWWWW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): dc59ced10826…bd9f83. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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