TrueOdds Lab

La Liga · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK

Villarreal vs Getafe prediction

Estadio de la Cerámica · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Upcoming · forecast frozen at publication

Win, draw or lose

Villarreal win68.0%fair odds 1.47
Draw20.3%fair odds 4.93
Getafe win11.7%fair odds 8.55

Villarreal are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 68% this outcome fails about 3 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 73% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Villarreal 60%, draw 26%, Getafe 14%.

Double chance88%Villarreal or draw · fair 1.13
Goals53%Over 2.5 · fair 1.87
Both teams to score46%yes · fair 2.17
Expected goals2.08 – 0.74Villarreal – Getafe

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Villarreal9th1211WLDWL
Getafe13th1211WLDLW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): dc59ced10826…bd9f83. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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