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Ligue 1 · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 18:00 UK

Auxerre vs Paris FC prediction

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Auxerre win21.6%fair odds 4.64
Draw23.6%fair odds 4.24
Paris FC win54.9%fair odds 1.82

Paris FC are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 55% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 53% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Auxerre 31%, draw 27%, Paris FC 43%.

Double chance78%Paris FC or draw · fair 1.27
Goals56%Over 2.5 · fair 1.78
Both teams to score56%yes · fair 1.78
Expected goals1.08 – 1.85Auxerre – Paris FC

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Auxerre14th109WLWDL
Paris FC4th179WLWLW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 4a0ad3edefcf…ada7b8. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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