TrueOdds Lab

Ligue 1 · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UK

Le Havre vs Lorient prediction

Stade Océane · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Upcoming · forecast frozen at publication

Win, draw or lose

Le Havre win33.6%fair odds 2.98
Draw28.3%fair odds 3.53
Lorient win38.1%fair odds 2.62

Lorient are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 38% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 38% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Le Havre 33%, draw 30%, Lorient 37%.

Double chance72%Le Havre or Lorient · fair 1.39
Goals53%Under 2.5 · fair 1.89
Both teams to score53%yes · fair 1.90
Expected goals1.23 – 1.33Le Havre – Lorient

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Le Havre18th29LLLLL
Lorient11th129LWWDL
Open in the appAll Ligue 1 predictions

How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 4a0ad3edefcf…ada7b8. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

Download this round · How to check it yourself

More Ligue 1 forecasts