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Ligue 1 · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 20:05 UK

PSG vs Troyes prediction

Parc des Princes · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

PSG win88.7%fair odds 1.13
Draw8.2%fair odds 12.25
Troyes win3.2%fair odds 31.65

PSG are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 89% this outcome fails about 1 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 71% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: PSG 82%, draw 13%, Troyes 6%.

Double chance97%PSG or draw · fair 1.03
Goals77%Over 2.5 · fair 1.31
Both teams to score44%yes · fair 2.28
Expected goals3.43 – 0.60PSG – Troyes

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
PSG1st209WWWWW
Troyes16th89LLLDW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 4a0ad3edefcf…ada7b8. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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