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Serie A · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 19:45 UK

Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction

Stadio Artemio Franchi · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Upcoming · forecast frozen at publication

Win, draw or lose

Fiorentina win27.6%fair odds 3.63
Draw26.1%fair odds 3.83
Juventus win46.3%fair odds 2.16

Juventus are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 46% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 48% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Fiorentina 25%, draw 29%, Juventus 47%.

Double chance74%Fiorentina or Juventus · fair 1.35
Goals54%Over 2.5 · fair 1.86
Both teams to score57%yes · fair 1.76
Expected goals1.20 – 1.62Fiorentina – Juventus

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Fiorentina16th810LLLDW
Juventus7th1710DLWLW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 2b99172cd9df…619c28. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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