TrueOdds Lab

Serie A · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 19:45 UK

Roma vs Sassuolo prediction

Stadio Olimpico · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Roma win75.6%fair odds 1.32
Draw14.9%fair odds 6.70
Sassuolo win9.5%fair odds 10.54

Roma are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 76% this outcome fails about 2 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 71% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Roma 72%, draw 18%, Sassuolo 10%.

Double chance91%Roma or draw · fair 1.10
Goals71%Over 2.5 · fair 1.41
Both teams to score56%yes · fair 1.78
Expected goals2.75 – 0.91Roma – Sassuolo

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Roma3rd2410DWDWW
Sassuolo17th810DLLLL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 2b99172cd9df…619c28. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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