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Serie A · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 11:30 UK

Napoli vs Lazio prediction

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Napoli win42.3%fair odds 2.37
Draw26.2%fair odds 3.81
Lazio win31.5%fair odds 3.17

Napoli are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 42% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 45% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Napoli 43%, draw 30%, Lazio 28%.

Double chance74%Napoli or Lazio · fair 1.36
Goals55%Over 2.5 · fair 1.82
Both teams to score58%yes · fair 1.71
Expected goals1.56 – 1.32Napoli – Lazio

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Napoli8th1410WLDWL
Lazio1st2810WWWWW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 2b99172cd9df…619c28. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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