TrueOdds Lab

Serie A · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UK

Genoa vs AC Milan prediction

Stadio Luigi Ferraris · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Genoa win20.2%fair odds 4.94
Draw26.4%fair odds 3.78
AC Milan win53.3%fair odds 1.88

AC Milan are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 53% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 56% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Genoa 22%, draw 29%, AC Milan 50%.

Double chance80%AC Milan or draw · fair 1.25
Goals55%Under 2.5 · fair 1.83
Both teams to score48%yes · fair 2.10
Expected goals0.89 – 1.60Genoa – AC Milan

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Genoa11th1310WLWWW
AC Milan5th2110DWWLW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 2b99172cd9df…619c28. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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