TrueOdds Lab

Serie A · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UK

Monza vs Atalanta prediction

U-Power Stadium · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Monza win28.9%fair odds 3.46
Draw24.6%fair odds 4.06
Atalanta win46.4%fair odds 2.15

Atalanta are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 46% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 48% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Monza 18%, draw 22%, Atalanta 60%.

Double chance75%Monza or Atalanta · fair 1.33
Goals61%Over 2.5 · fair 1.63
Both teams to score63%yes · fair 1.59
Expected goals1.38 – 1.79Monza – Atalanta

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Monza18th710LWLLL
Atalanta13th1110WLDDL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 2b99172cd9df…619c28. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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