TrueOdds Lab

Serie B · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 18:30 UK

Benevento vs Avellino prediction

Stadio Ciro Vigorito · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Benevento win51.3%fair odds 1.95
Draw26.0%fair odds 3.84
Avellino win22.7%fair odds 4.40

Benevento are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 51% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 48% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Benevento 44%, draw 30%, Avellino 26%.

Double chance77%Benevento or draw · fair 1.29
Goals50%Under 2.5 · fair 1.98
Both teams to score52%yes · fair 1.92
Expected goals1.64 – 1.02Benevento – Avellino

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Benevento7th1510WDWDL
Avellino6th1510WDLDW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 8f248a3f6e1a…d4e79a. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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