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Serie B · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UK

Padova vs Empoli prediction

Stadio Euganeo · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Padova win43.5%fair odds 2.30
Draw27.7%fair odds 3.61
Empoli win28.8%fair odds 3.47

Padova are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 43% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 40% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Padova 46%, draw 30%, Empoli 24%.

Double chance72%Padova or Empoli · fair 1.38
Goals53%Under 2.5 · fair 1.88
Both teams to score52%yes · fair 1.93
Expected goals1.43 – 1.12Padova – Empoli

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Padova10th1410LLWWD
Empoli18th810LDLLD
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 8f248a3f6e1a…d4e79a. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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