TrueOdds Lab

Serie B · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UK

Pisa vs Sudtirol prediction

Arena Garibaldi · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Pisa win61.4%fair odds 1.63
Draw22.6%fair odds 4.43
Sudtirol win16.0%fair odds 6.25

Pisa are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 61% this outcome fails about 4 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 68% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Pisa 52%, draw 27%, Sudtirol 21%.

Double chance84%Pisa or draw · fair 1.19
Goals53%Over 2.5 · fair 1.89
Both teams to score50%yes · fair 1.99
Expected goals1.92 – 0.87Pisa – Sudtirol

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Pisa8th1510WWDDL
Sudtirol9th1410DLDLD
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 8f248a3f6e1a…d4e79a. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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