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Serie B · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UK

Carrarese vs Sampdoria prediction

Stadio dei Marmi · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Upcoming · forecast frozen at publication

Win, draw or lose

Carrarese win38.9%fair odds 2.57
Draw28.4%fair odds 3.52
Sampdoria win32.7%fair odds 3.06

Carrarese are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 39% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 36% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Carrarese 45%, draw 31%, Sampdoria 24%.

Double chance72%Carrarese or Sampdoria · fair 1.40
Goals51%Under 2.5 · fair 1.95
Both teams to score54%yes · fair 1.86
Expected goals1.37 – 1.24Carrarese – Sampdoria

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Carrarese16th1010WWLWL
Sampdoria19th810LLDLW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 8f248a3f6e1a…d4e79a. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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