TrueOdds Lab

Serie B · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UK

Cesena vs Catanzaro prediction

Orogel Stadium – Dino Manuzzi · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Cesena win45.3%fair odds 2.21
Draw26.2%fair odds 3.81
Catanzaro win28.4%fair odds 3.51

Cesena are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 45% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 48% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Cesena 42%, draw 27%, Catanzaro 31%.

Double chance74%Cesena or Catanzaro · fair 1.36
Goals54%Over 2.5 · fair 1.85
Both teams to score57%yes · fair 1.75
Expected goals1.61 – 1.23Cesena – Catanzaro

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Cesena13th1210LDLWD
Catanzaro20th610LDLDD
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 8f248a3f6e1a…d4e79a. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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