TrueOdds Lab

Premier League · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK

Arsenal vs Hull prediction

Emirates Stadium · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Arsenal win84.8%fair odds 1.18
Draw11.3%fair odds 8.87
Hull win4.0%fair odds 25.19

Arsenal are clear favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 85% this outcome fails about 2 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 72% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Arsenal 68%, draw 21%, Hull 12%.

Double chance96%Arsenal or draw · fair 1.04
Goals63%Over 2.5 · fair 1.58
Both teams to score36%yes · fair 2.78
Expected goals2.79 – 0.48Arsenal – Hull

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Arsenal1st249LWWWW
Hull11th119LDLDD
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): e2ce8c9065ca…683abb. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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