TrueOdds Lab

Premier League · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK

Fulham vs Newcastle prediction

Craven Cottage · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Fulham win46.7%fair odds 2.14
Draw25.4%fair odds 3.93
Newcastle win27.9%fair odds 3.58

Fulham are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 47% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 46% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Fulham 39%, draw 25%, Newcastle 36%.

Double chance75%Fulham or Newcastle · fair 1.34
Goals58%Over 2.5 · fair 1.73
Both teams to score60%yes · fair 1.67
Expected goals1.72 – 1.29Fulham – Newcastle

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Fulham15th99DLWWD
Newcastle13th119WLLWL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): e2ce8c9065ca…683abb. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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