TrueOdds Lab

Premier League · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UK

Brighton vs Brentford prediction

Amex Stadium · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Brighton win50.4%fair odds 1.98
Draw24.0%fair odds 4.17
Brentford win25.6%fair odds 3.90

Brighton are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 50% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 55% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Brighton 50%, draw 23%, Brentford 27%.

Double chance76%Brighton or Brentford · fair 1.32
Goals60%Over 2.5 · fair 1.66
Both teams to score61%yes · fair 1.64
Expected goals1.84 – 1.27Brighton – Brentford

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Brighton3rd199WWWLW
Brentford6th149WDLDW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): e2ce8c9065ca…683abb. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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