TrueOdds Lab

Premier League · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UK

Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction

Stadium of Light · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Sunderland win24.9%fair odds 4.01
Draw25.5%fair odds 3.92
Chelsea win49.6%fair odds 2.02

Chelsea are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 50% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 46% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Sunderland 29%, draw 25%, Chelsea 45%.

Double chance75%Chelsea or draw · fair 1.33
Goals53%Over 2.5 · fair 1.89
Both teams to score55%yes · fair 1.81
Expected goals1.12 – 1.67Sunderland – Chelsea

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Sunderland20th59LLLDL
Chelsea4th169LWWLW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): e2ce8c9065ca…683abb. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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