TrueOdds Lab

Premier League · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction

City Ground · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Nottingham Forest win19.8%fair odds 5.04
Draw23.2%fair odds 4.31
Manchester City win57.0%fair odds 1.76

Manchester City are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 57% this outcome fails about 4 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 58% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Nottingham Forest 20%, draw 23%, Manchester City 58%.

Double chance80%Manchester City or draw · fair 1.25
Goals59%Over 2.5 · fair 1.70
Both teams to score58%yes · fair 1.74
Expected goals1.09 – 1.96Nottingham Forest – Manchester City

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Nottingham Forest19th69LLLDL
Manchester City2nd219WWWLL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): e2ce8c9065ca…683abb. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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