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Primeira Liga · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 15:30 UK

Estoril vs Maritimo prediction

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Estoril win46.3%fair odds 2.16
Draw26.5%fair odds 3.77
Maritimo win27.2%fair odds 3.68

Estoril are favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 46% this outcome fails about 5 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 45% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Estoril 52%, draw 24%, Maritimo 24%.

Double chance73%Estoril or Maritimo · fair 1.36
Goals51%Over 2.5 · fair 1.98
Both teams to score54%yes · fair 1.84
Expected goals1.56 – 1.14Estoril – Maritimo

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Estoril18th210LLLLL
Maritimo14th810LDLLL
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 7ef4d2bfc4d5…b256b3. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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