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Primeira Liga · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 15:30 UK

Nacional vs Academico Viseu prediction

Estádio da Madeira · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Nacional win31.5%fair odds 3.17
Draw28.1%fair odds 3.56
Academico Viseu win40.4%fair odds 2.47

Academico Viseu are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 40% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 43% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Nacional 27%, draw 27%, Academico Viseu 46%.

Double chance72%Nacional or Academico Viseu · fair 1.39
Goals53%Under 2.5 · fair 1.88
Both teams to score52%yes · fair 1.92
Expected goals1.18 – 1.37Nacional – Academico Viseu

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Nacional15th710LLLWL
Academico Viseu6th2010WWWWW
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 7ef4d2bfc4d5…b256b3. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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