TrueOdds Lab

Primeira Liga · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 15:30 UK

Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente prediction

Estádio de São Miguel · Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK

Kick-off has passed — the result is added after the next data update

Win, draw or lose

Santa Clara win42.8%fair odds 2.34
Draw30.1%fair odds 3.32
Gil Vicente win27.1%fair odds 3.69

Santa Clara are slight favourites. Most likely is not certain: at 43% this outcome fails about 6 times in 10.

In our backtest, forecasts at this confidence came in 43% of the time.

Our rating model, as a second opinion: Santa Clara 40%, draw 31%, Gil Vicente 29%.

Double chance73%Santa Clara or draw · fair 1.37
Goals63%Under 2.5 · fair 1.58
Both teams to score43%yes · fair 2.30
Expected goals1.24 – 0.92Santa Clara – Gil Vicente

Table and form at publication

TeamPosPtsPlForm
Santa Clara4th2110WDWLW
Gil Vicente7th1510DWWLD
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How this forecast was made

Probabilities come from the average bookmaker price at the time of publication with the margin removed (Buchdahl's method) — the market is the most accurate public forecast. Our rating model is shown as a second opinion. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability: a price without the bookmaker's margin, not a tip to bet.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK, before kick-off. Published forecasts are never edited; the result is added after the match. How it works

Proof this forecast wasn't edited

Fingerprint of this round (SHA-256): 7ef4d2bfc4d5…b256b3. It is in entry #2 of our public log, recorded 7 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, and timestamped by an independent service (timestamp.sectigo.com, 7 Nov 2026, 08:04 UTC). If any number in this round changed, the fingerprint would no longer match.

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